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Raila Odinga's AU Chairmanship Bid: A New Hope or More of the Same?

On August 27, 2024, the Kenyan government officially endorsed Raila Odinga as its candidate for chairman of the African Union (AU) Commission during a ceremony at State House in Nairobi.

This event gathered several prominent leaders, including President William Ruto of Kenya, Uganda's Yoweri Museveni, Tanzania's Samia Suluhu Hassan, and South Sudan's Salva Kiir. 

Former presidents like Nigeria’s Olusegun Obasanjo and Tanzania’s Jakaya Kikwete also attended, giving the event the feel of a mini-African Union summit.

During his speech, Odinga addressed key issues facing Africa, such as peace, poverty, and the need for increased trade between African countries. He emphasized that these problems drive many people to leave their homes in search of better lives in Europe and other regions. 

However, while he touched on these critical topics, he did not discuss the underlying causes of these challenges—failed governance. This oversight raises important questions about the direction of the AU under his leadership.

Many believe that the lack of peace and development in Africa is linked to poor governance. This governance model often stems from the legacies of independence leaders, who have created systems where political leaders are treated like deities. 

Such leaders misuse government resources to build their power and support, leaving little for the citizens. This results in corruption and a lack of accountability.
A clear example of this troubling trend is how the Kenyan government has responded to dissent. Recently, authorities in Nairobi deployed snipers to deal with peaceful protesters, demonstrating the extreme measures taken to silence opposition and maintain control.

This pattern of intimidation reflects a larger issue within many African nations, where political leaders prioritize their own power over the needs of the people.

Tribalism also plays a significant role in African politics, often manipulated by leaders to maintain their positions. For instance, the ongoing conflict in South Sudan is largely driven by political leaders rallying their communities for support.

Similarly, the unrest in Sudan can be traced back to the dictatorship of Omar al-Bashir, whose regime weakened institutions and led to widespread poverty. The struggles for power among his former allies show that many leaders are more interested in personal gain than the welfare of their nations.

In his speech, Odinga invoked historical figures like Kwame Nkrumah, Jomo Kenyatta, and Haile Selassie, known for establishing oppressive systems in their countries.

This reference has sparked concerns that if he becomes the AU chair, he might become a defender of the very governance issues that many Africans are fighting to change. His potential presidency could align him with the same legacy of leadership that young people across the continent wish to reject.

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