Once firmly anchored in Mt. Kenya, Ruto’s grip on the region is loosening, reportedly due to his fallout with former deputy Rigathi Gachagua.
Political analysts suggest that the president is now looking to win over voters in Raila Odinga’s traditional strongholds to bolster his chances in the 2027 elections.
The decline in Ruto’s Mt. Kenya support has become increasingly evident during his visits to the region.
Notably, he was jeered at an event in Embu during Bishop Peter Kimani’s ordination on November 16.
Similarly, during the funeral of MCA Mark Wainaina, mourners rejected a tribute from Interior Cabinet Secretary Kithure Kindiki’s representative, further underscoring the tension.
Political analyst Javas Bigambo believes this erosion of support in Mt. Kenya has prompted Ruto to seek alternative strategies.
“With the political dynamics shifting, Ruto is trying to look for support from Raila Odinga’s strongholds to substitute the Mt. Kenya votes,” he explained.
Ruto’s outreach to these regions has been marked by notable visits and promises.
On November 26, he toured Kondele in Kisumu County, a historically pro-Raila area.
The president received a warm welcome and pledged to introduce development projects aimed at creating job opportunities for the youth.
A week later, on December 3, he visited Taita Taveta County, another stronghold of Raila Odinga, where he launched a Ksh 11 billion mining plant.
These visits demonstrate Ruto’s shift in focus as he works to strengthen his political base.
Analysts have observed that his new strategy is likely influenced by reports of a possible alliance between former vice president Kalonzo Musyoka and Rigathi Gachagua, which could further complicate his position in Mt. Kenya.
While Ruto’s efforts in Raila’s strongholds appear promising, the road ahead is uncertain.
Winning over regions with deeply rooted political loyalties will require sustained engagement and tangible results.
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